Skip to content

Research at St Andrews

Assessing the design and power of capture-recapture studies to estimate population growth rate and abundance of the endangered Oceania humpback whale population

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

DOI

Open Access permissions

Open

Author(s)

Emma Louise Carroll, Lyndon Brooks, C. Scott Baker, Daniel Burns, Claire Garrigue, Nan Hauser, Jennifer Jackson, Michael Poole, Rachel Fewster

School/Research organisations

Abstract

Capture-recapture studies offer a powerful tool to assess abundance, survival and population rate of change (λ). A previous capture-recapture study, based on DNA profiles, estimated that the IUCN-listed Endangered Oceania population of humpback whales had a superpopulation size of 4,329 whales (95% CL 3345, 5315) and λ = 1.03 (95% CL 0.90-1.18) for the period 1999-2005. This low estimate of λ contrasts with the high estimated λ of the neighbouring east Australia population (1.11; 95% CL 1.05-1.13). A future assessment of Oceania humpbacks through capture-recapture methodology has been proposed to meet 3 objectives: (1) estimate population size with a coefficient of variation (CV) of <20%, and detect if λ is significantly different from (2) 1.00 or (3) λ of east Australia. The proposed survey design involves identifying whales through DNA profiles on principal breeding grounds within Oceania in proportion to the abundance of whales on these grounds over the 10-12 week wintering period, to minimise heterogeneity between individuals and to maximise capture probabilities. Simulations of the idealised survey design incorporating data from the previous surveys (1999-2005) with three new survey years were conducted under a range of scenarios for the 'true' demographic status of the population. Simulations of the entire Oceania region showed that the proposed design will give sufficient power to meet (1) under all scenarios, meet (2) if the true λ≥1.05 and meet (3) if the true λ ≤1.05. Region-specific simulations suggested there was scope to test for differences in recovery between principal breeding sites within Oceania.
Close

Details

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)147-162
Number of pages16
JournalEndangered Species Research
Volume28
Early online date1 Sep 2015
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2015

    Research areas

  • Capture-recapture, DNA profile, Heterogeneity, Megaaptera novaeangliae

Discover related content
Find related publications, people, projects and more using interactive charts.

View graph of relations

Related by author

  1. Animal cultures matter for conservation

    Brakes, P., Dall, S. R. X., Aplin, L. M., Bearhop, S., Carroll, E. L., Ciucci, P., Fishlock, V., Ford, J. K. B., Garland, E. C., Keith, S. A., McGregor, P. K., Mesnick, S. L., Noad, M. J., Notarbartolo di Sciara, G., Robbins, M. M., Simmonds, M. P., Spina, F., Thornton, A., Wade, P. R., Whiting, M. J. & 5 others, Williams, J., Rendell, L., Whitehead, H., Whiten, A. & Rutz, C., 8 Mar 2019, In : Science. 363, 6431, p. 1032-1034 5 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

  2. Phylogenomic insights to the origin and spread of phocine distemper virus in European harbour seals in 1988 and 2002

    Stokholm, I., Härkönen, T., Harding, K. C., Siebert, U., Lehnert, K., Dietz, R., Teilmann, J., Galatius, A., Havmøller, L. W., Carroll, E. L., Hall, A. & Olsen, M. T., 21 Feb 2019, In : Diseases of Aquatic Organisms. 133, 1, p. 47-56 10 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

  3. Future directions in Eubalaena spp. comparative research to inform conservation

    Harcourt, R., van der Hoop, J., Kraus, S. & Carroll, E. L., 30 Jan 2019, In : Frontiers in Marine Science. 5, 25 p., 530.

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

  4. Future directions in research on beaked whales

    Hooker, S. K., De Soto, N. A., Baird, R. W., Carroll, E. L., Claridge, D., Feyrer, L., Miller, P. J. O., Onoufriou, A., Schorr, G., Siegal, E. & Whitehead, H., 25 Jan 2019, In : Frontiers in Marine Science. 5, 16 p., 514.

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Related by journal

  1. Endangered Species Research (Journal)

    Sophie Caroline Smout (Reviewer)
    7 Mar 2018

    Activity: Publication peer-review and editorial work typesPeer review of manuscripts

  2. Endangered Species Research (Journal)

    Monica Arso Civil (Reviewer)
    2016

    Activity: Publication peer-review and editorial work typesPeer review of manuscripts

  3. Endangered Species Research (Journal)

    Simon Northridge (Guest editor)
    2012

    Activity: Publication peer-review and editorial work typesEditor of research journal

  4. Endangered Species Research (Journal)

    Jason Matthiopoulos (Editor)
    2007 → …

    Activity: Publication peer-review and editorial work typesEditor of research journal

Related by journal

  1. Loggerhead turtle Caretta caretta density and abundance in Chesapeake Bay and the temperate ocean waters of the southern portion of the Mid-Atlantic Bight

    Barco, S. G., Burt, M. L., DiGiovanni, R. A., Swingle, W. M. & Williard, A. S., 13 Dec 2018, In : Endangered Species Research. 37, p. 269-287 19 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

  2. Animal Counting Toolkit: a practical guide to small-boat surveys for estimating abundance of coastal marine mammals

    Williams, R., Ashe, E. E., Gaut, K., Gryba, R., Moore, J. E., Rexstad, E., Sandilands, D., Steventon, J. & Reeves, R., 10 Aug 2017, In : Endangered Species Research. 34, p. 149-165 17 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

  3. Assigning stranded bottlenose dolphins to source stocks using stable isotope ratios following the Deepwater Horizon oil spill

    Hohn, A. A., Thomas, L., Carmichael, R. H., Litz, J., Clemons-Chevis, C., Shippee, S. F., Sinclair, C., Smith, S., Speakman, T. R., Tumlin, M. C. & Zolman, E. S., 31 Jan 2017, In : Endangered Species Research. 33, p. 235-252 18 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

  4. Late summer distribution and abundance of ice-associated whales in the Norwegian High Arctic

    Vacquié-Garcia, J., Lydersen, C., Marques, T. A., Aars, J., Ahonen, H., Skern-Mauritzen, M., Øien, N. & Kovacs, K. M., 7 Feb 2017, In : Endangered Species Research. 32, p. 59-70 12 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

  5. Quantifying injury to common bottlenose dolphins from the Deepwater Horizon oil spill using an age-, sex- and class-structured population model

    Schwacke, L. H., Thomas, L., Wells, R. S., McFee, W. E., Hohn, A. A., Mullin, K. D., Zolman, E. S., Quigley, B. M., Rowles, T. K. & Schwacke, J. H., 31 Jan 2017, In : Endangered Species Research. 33, p. 265-279 15 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

ID: 197232695

Top