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Making modelling count - increasing the contribution of shelf-seas community and ecosystem models to policy development and management

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Making modelling count - increasing the contribution of shelf-seas community and ecosystem models to policy development and management. / Hyder, K.; Rossberg, A.G.; Allen, J.I.; Austen, M.C.; Barciela, R.M.; Bannister, H.J.; Blackwell, P.G.; Blanchard, J.L.; Burrows, M.T.; Defriez, E.; Dorrington, T.; Edwards, K.P.; Garcia-Carreras, B.; Heath, M.R.; Hembury, D.J.; Heymans, J.J.; Holt, J.; Houle, J.E.; Jennings, S.; Mackinson, S.; Malcolm, S.J.; McPike, R.; Mee, L.; Mills, D.K.; Montgomery, C.; Pearson, D.; Pinnegar, J.K.; Pollicino, M.; Popova, E.E.; Rae, L.; Rogers, S.I.; Speirs, D.; Spence, M.A.; Thorpe, R.; Turner, R.K.; van der Molen, J.; Yool, A.; Paterson, David Maxwell.

In: Marine Policy, Vol. 61, 11.2015, p. 291-302.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Harvard

Hyder, K, Rossberg, AG, Allen, JI, Austen, MC, Barciela, RM, Bannister, HJ, Blackwell, PG, Blanchard, JL, Burrows, MT, Defriez, E, Dorrington, T, Edwards, KP, Garcia-Carreras, B, Heath, MR, Hembury, DJ, Heymans, JJ, Holt, J, Houle, JE, Jennings, S, Mackinson, S, Malcolm, SJ, McPike, R, Mee, L, Mills, DK, Montgomery, C, Pearson, D, Pinnegar, JK, Pollicino, M, Popova, EE, Rae, L, Rogers, SI, Speirs, D, Spence, MA, Thorpe, R, Turner, RK, van der Molen, J, Yool, A & Paterson, DM 2015, 'Making modelling count - increasing the contribution of shelf-seas community and ecosystem models to policy development and management', Marine Policy, vol. 61, pp. 291-302. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.marpol.2015.07.015

APA

Hyder, K., Rossberg, A. G., Allen, J. I., Austen, M. C., Barciela, R. M., Bannister, H. J., ... Paterson, D. M. (2015). Making modelling count - increasing the contribution of shelf-seas community and ecosystem models to policy development and management. Marine Policy, 61, 291-302. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.marpol.2015.07.015

Vancouver

Hyder K, Rossberg AG, Allen JI, Austen MC, Barciela RM, Bannister HJ et al. Making modelling count - increasing the contribution of shelf-seas community and ecosystem models to policy development and management. Marine Policy. 2015 Nov;61:291-302. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.marpol.2015.07.015

Author

Hyder, K. ; Rossberg, A.G. ; Allen, J.I. ; Austen, M.C. ; Barciela, R.M. ; Bannister, H.J. ; Blackwell, P.G. ; Blanchard, J.L. ; Burrows, M.T. ; Defriez, E. ; Dorrington, T. ; Edwards, K.P. ; Garcia-Carreras, B. ; Heath, M.R. ; Hembury, D.J. ; Heymans, J.J. ; Holt, J. ; Houle, J.E. ; Jennings, S. ; Mackinson, S. ; Malcolm, S.J. ; McPike, R. ; Mee, L. ; Mills, D.K. ; Montgomery, C. ; Pearson, D. ; Pinnegar, J.K. ; Pollicino, M. ; Popova, E.E. ; Rae, L. ; Rogers, S.I. ; Speirs, D. ; Spence, M.A. ; Thorpe, R. ; Turner, R.K. ; van der Molen, J. ; Yool, A. ; Paterson, David Maxwell. / Making modelling count - increasing the contribution of shelf-seas community and ecosystem models to policy development and management. In: Marine Policy. 2015 ; Vol. 61. pp. 291-302.

Bibtex - Download

@article{694ea863b067495a9acf357a8ef5a2c9,
title = "Making modelling count - increasing the contribution of shelf-seas community and ecosystem models to policy development and management",
abstract = "Marine legislation is becoming more complex and marine ecosystem-based management is specified in national and regional legislative frameworks. Shelf-seas community and ecosystem models (hereafter termed ecosystem models) are central to the delivery of ecosystem-based management, but there is limited uptake and use of model products by decision makers in Europe and the UK in comparison with other countries. In this study, the challenges to the uptake and use of ecosystem models in support of marine environmental management are assessed using the UK capability as an example. The UK has a broad capability in marine ecosystem modelling, with at least 14 different models that support management, but few examples exist of ecosystem modelling that underpin policy or management decisions. To improve understanding of policy and management issues that can be addressed using ecosystem models, a workshop was convened that brought together advisors, assessors, biologists, social scientists, economists, modellers, statisticians, policy makers, and funders. Some policy requirements were identified that can be addressed without further model development including: attribution of environmental change to underlying drivers, integration of models and observations to develop more efficient monitoring programmes, assessment of indicator performance for different management goals, and the costs and benefit of legislation. Multi-model ensembles are being developed in cases where many models exist, but model structures are very diverse making a standardised approach of combining outputs a significant challenge, and there is a need for new methodologies for describing, analysing, and visualising uncertainties. A stronger link to social and economic systems is needed to increase the range of policy-related questions that can be addressed. It is also important to improve communication between policy and modelling communities so that there is a shared understanding of the strengths and limitations of ecosystem models.",
keywords = "Ecosystem models, Marine policy and management, UK environmental assessment, management, and monitoring",
author = "K. Hyder and A.G. Rossberg and J.I. Allen and M.C. Austen and R.M. Barciela and H.J. Bannister and P.G. Blackwell and J.L. Blanchard and M.T. Burrows and E. Defriez and T. Dorrington and K.P. Edwards and B. Garcia-Carreras and M.R. Heath and D.J. Hembury and J.J. Heymans and J. Holt and J.E. Houle and S. Jennings and S. Mackinson and S.J. Malcolm and R. McPike and L. Mee and D.K. Mills and C. Montgomery and D. Pearson and J.K. Pinnegar and M. Pollicino and E.E. Popova and L. Rae and S.I. Rogers and D. Speirs and M.A. Spence and R. Thorpe and R.K. Turner and {van der Molen}, J. and A. Yool and Paterson, {David Maxwell}",
note = "Robert Thorpe received financial aid from the European Commission (OCEAN-CERTAIN, FP7-ENV-2013-6.1-1; no: 603773). Steve Mackinson was supported by GAP2 (EU FP7 project, Grant agreement 266544) and the UK Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs (Defra) Project MF1228 “Linking Physics to Fisheries Management”. Simon Jennings was supported by the Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs (Defra) project “Integration of fisheries and environmental management” (MF1225).",
year = "2015",
month = "11",
doi = "10.1016/j.marpol.2015.07.015",
language = "English",
volume = "61",
pages = "291--302",
journal = "Marine Policy",
issn = "0308-597X",
publisher = "ELSEVIER SCI LTD",

}

RIS (suitable for import to EndNote) - Download

TY - JOUR

T1 - Making modelling count - increasing the contribution of shelf-seas community and ecosystem models to policy development and management

AU - Hyder, K.

AU - Rossberg, A.G.

AU - Allen, J.I.

AU - Austen, M.C.

AU - Barciela, R.M.

AU - Bannister, H.J.

AU - Blackwell, P.G.

AU - Blanchard, J.L.

AU - Burrows, M.T.

AU - Defriez, E.

AU - Dorrington, T.

AU - Edwards, K.P.

AU - Garcia-Carreras, B.

AU - Heath, M.R.

AU - Hembury, D.J.

AU - Heymans, J.J.

AU - Holt, J.

AU - Houle, J.E.

AU - Jennings, S.

AU - Mackinson, S.

AU - Malcolm, S.J.

AU - McPike, R.

AU - Mee, L.

AU - Mills, D.K.

AU - Montgomery, C.

AU - Pearson, D.

AU - Pinnegar, J.K.

AU - Pollicino, M.

AU - Popova, E.E.

AU - Rae, L.

AU - Rogers, S.I.

AU - Speirs, D.

AU - Spence, M.A.

AU - Thorpe, R.

AU - Turner, R.K.

AU - van der Molen, J.

AU - Yool, A.

AU - Paterson, David Maxwell

N1 - Robert Thorpe received financial aid from the European Commission (OCEAN-CERTAIN, FP7-ENV-2013-6.1-1; no: 603773). Steve Mackinson was supported by GAP2 (EU FP7 project, Grant agreement 266544) and the UK Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs (Defra) Project MF1228 “Linking Physics to Fisheries Management”. Simon Jennings was supported by the Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs (Defra) project “Integration of fisheries and environmental management” (MF1225).

PY - 2015/11

Y1 - 2015/11

N2 - Marine legislation is becoming more complex and marine ecosystem-based management is specified in national and regional legislative frameworks. Shelf-seas community and ecosystem models (hereafter termed ecosystem models) are central to the delivery of ecosystem-based management, but there is limited uptake and use of model products by decision makers in Europe and the UK in comparison with other countries. In this study, the challenges to the uptake and use of ecosystem models in support of marine environmental management are assessed using the UK capability as an example. The UK has a broad capability in marine ecosystem modelling, with at least 14 different models that support management, but few examples exist of ecosystem modelling that underpin policy or management decisions. To improve understanding of policy and management issues that can be addressed using ecosystem models, a workshop was convened that brought together advisors, assessors, biologists, social scientists, economists, modellers, statisticians, policy makers, and funders. Some policy requirements were identified that can be addressed without further model development including: attribution of environmental change to underlying drivers, integration of models and observations to develop more efficient monitoring programmes, assessment of indicator performance for different management goals, and the costs and benefit of legislation. Multi-model ensembles are being developed in cases where many models exist, but model structures are very diverse making a standardised approach of combining outputs a significant challenge, and there is a need for new methodologies for describing, analysing, and visualising uncertainties. A stronger link to social and economic systems is needed to increase the range of policy-related questions that can be addressed. It is also important to improve communication between policy and modelling communities so that there is a shared understanding of the strengths and limitations of ecosystem models.

AB - Marine legislation is becoming more complex and marine ecosystem-based management is specified in national and regional legislative frameworks. Shelf-seas community and ecosystem models (hereafter termed ecosystem models) are central to the delivery of ecosystem-based management, but there is limited uptake and use of model products by decision makers in Europe and the UK in comparison with other countries. In this study, the challenges to the uptake and use of ecosystem models in support of marine environmental management are assessed using the UK capability as an example. The UK has a broad capability in marine ecosystem modelling, with at least 14 different models that support management, but few examples exist of ecosystem modelling that underpin policy or management decisions. To improve understanding of policy and management issues that can be addressed using ecosystem models, a workshop was convened that brought together advisors, assessors, biologists, social scientists, economists, modellers, statisticians, policy makers, and funders. Some policy requirements were identified that can be addressed without further model development including: attribution of environmental change to underlying drivers, integration of models and observations to develop more efficient monitoring programmes, assessment of indicator performance for different management goals, and the costs and benefit of legislation. Multi-model ensembles are being developed in cases where many models exist, but model structures are very diverse making a standardised approach of combining outputs a significant challenge, and there is a need for new methodologies for describing, analysing, and visualising uncertainties. A stronger link to social and economic systems is needed to increase the range of policy-related questions that can be addressed. It is also important to improve communication between policy and modelling communities so that there is a shared understanding of the strengths and limitations of ecosystem models.

KW - Ecosystem models

KW - Marine policy and management

KW - UK environmental assessment, management, and monitoring

U2 - 10.1016/j.marpol.2015.07.015

DO - 10.1016/j.marpol.2015.07.015

M3 - Article

VL - 61

SP - 291

EP - 302

JO - Marine Policy

JF - Marine Policy

SN - 0308-597X

ER -

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