Skip to content

Research at St Andrews

Phenological sensitivity to climate across taxa and trophic levels

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

DOI

Open Access permissions

Open

Author(s)

Stephen J. Thackeray, Peter A. Henrys, Deborah Hemming, James R. Bell, Marc S. Botham, Sarah Burthe, Pierre Helaouet, David G. Johns, Ian D Jones, David. I. Leech, Eleanor B. Mackay, Dario Massimino, Sian Atkinson, Philip J. Bacon, Tom M. Brereton, Laurence Carvalho, Tim H. Clutton-Brock, Callan Duck, Martin Edwards, J. Malcolm Elliott & 11 others Stephen J. G. Hall, Richard Harrington, James W. Pearce-Higgins, Toke T. Høye, Loeske E. B. Kruuk, Josephine M. Pemberton, Tim H. Sparks, Paul M. Thompson, Ian White, Ian J. Winfield, Sarah Wanless

School/Research organisations

Abstract

Differences in phenological responses to climate change among species can desynchronise ecological interactions and thereby threaten ecosystem function. To assess these threats, we must quantify the relative impact of climate change on species at different trophic levels. Here, we apply a Climate Sensitivity Profile approach to 10,003 terrestrial and aquatic phenological data sets, spatially matched to temperature and precipitation data, to quantify variation in climate sensitivity. The direction, magnitude and timing of climate sensitivity varied markedly among organisms within taxonomic and trophic groups. Despite this variability, we detected systematic variation in the direction and magnitude of phenological climate sensitivity. Secondary consumers showed consistently lower climate sensitivity than other groups. We used mid-century climate change projections to estimate that the timing of phenological events could change more for primary consumers than for species in other trophic levels (6.2 versus 2.5–2.9 days earlier on average), with substantial taxonomic variation (1.1–14.8 days earlier on average).
Close

Details

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)241-245
Number of pages5
JournalNature
Volume535
Issue number7611
Early online date29 Jun 2016
DOIs
StatePublished - 14 Jul 2016

    Research areas

  • Phenology, Food webs

Discover related content
Find related publications, people, projects and more using interactive charts.

View graph of relations

Related by author

  1. Harbour Seal Decline – vital rates and drivers. Report to Scottish Government HSD2.

    Arso Civil, M., Smout, S. C., Thompson, D., Brownlow, A., Davison, N., Doeschate, M., Duck, C. D., Morris, C., Cummings, C., McConnell, B. J. & Hall, A. J. 2017 Sea Mammal Research Unit. 35 p.

    Research output: Book/ReportOther report

  2. Patterns of space use in sympatric marine colonial predators reveals scales of spatial partitioning

    Jones, E. L., McConnell, B. J., Smout, S. C., Hammond, P. S., Duck, C. D., Morris, C., Thompson, D., Russell, D. J. F., Vincent, C., Cronin, M., Sharples, R. J. & Matthiopoulos, J. 27 Aug 2015 In : Marine Ecology Progress Series. 534, p. 235-249

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Related by journal

  1. Nature (Journal)

    Dritschel, D. G. (Editor)
    2005 → …

    Activity: Publication peer-review and editorial workEditor of research journal

  2. Nature (Journal)

    Samuel, I. D. W. (Editor)
    2005 → …

    Activity: Publication peer-review and editorial workEditor of research journal

Related by journal

  1. An absolute sodium abundance for a cloud-free 'hot Saturn' exoplanet

    Nikolov, N. , Sing, D. K. , Fortney, J. J. , Goyal, J. M. , Drummond, B. , Evans, T. M. , Gibson, N. P. , De Mooj, E. J. W. , Rustamkulov, Z. , Wakeford, H. R. , Smalley, B. , Burgasser, A. J. , Hellier, C. , Helling, C. , Mayne, N. J. , Madhusudhan, N. , Kataria, T. , Baines, J. , Carter, A. L. , Ballester, G. E. & 3 others Barstow, J. K., McCleery, J. & Spake, J. J. 7 May 2018 In : Nature. 557, p. 526-529

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

  2. Inference of ecological and social drivers of human brain-size evolution

    Gonzalez Forero, M. & Gardner, A. 23 May 2018 In : Nature. 557, p. 554-557

    Research output: Contribution to journalLetter

  3. Age, extent and carbon storage of the central Congo Basin peatland complex

    Dargie, G. C., Lewis, S. L., Lawson, I. T., Mitchard, E. T. A., Page, S. E., Bocko, Y. E. & Ifo, S. A. 2 Feb 2017 In : Nature. 542, 7639, p. 86-90 5 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

  4. Maximal Rashba-like spin splitting via kinetic energy-coupled inversion symmetry breaking

    Sunko, V., Rosner, H., Kushwaha, P., Khim, S., Mazzola, F., Bawden, L., Clark, O. J., Riley, J. M., Kasinathan, D., Haverkort, M. W., Kim, T. K., Hoesch, M., Fujii, J., Vobornik, I., Mackenzie, A. P. & King, P. D. 28 Sep 2017 In : Nature. 549, 7673, p. 492-496

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

ID: 244544693