Skip to content

Research at St Andrews

Quantifying temporal change in biodiversity: challenges and opportunities

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Author(s)

Maria Dornelas, Anne Magurran, Stephen Terrence Buckland, Anne Chao, Robin L Chazdon, Robert K Colwell, Tom Curtis, Kevin J Gaston, Nicolas J Gotelli, Matthew A Kosnik, Brian McGill, Jenny L McCune, Hélène Morlon, Peter J Mumby, Lise Øvreås, Angelika Studeny, Mark Vellend

School/Research organisations

Abstract

Growing concern about biodiversity loss underscores the need to quantify and understand temporal change. Here, we review the opportunities presented by biodiversity time series, and address three related issues: (i) recognizing the characteristics of temporal data; (ii) selecting appropriate statistical procedures for analysing temporal data; and (iii) inferring and forecasting biodiversity change. With regard to the first issue, we draw attention to defining characteristics of biodiversity time series—lack of physical boundaries, uni-dimensionality, autocorrelation and directionality—that inform the choice of analytic methods. Second, we explore methods of quantifying change in biodiversity at different timescales, noting that autocorrelation can be viewed as a feature that sheds light on the underlying structure of temporal change. Finally, we address the transition from inferring to forecasting biodiversity change, highlighting potential pitfalls associated with phase-shifts and novel conditions.
Close

Details

Original languageEnglish
Article number20121931
JournalProceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences
Volume280
Issue number1750
Early online date24 Oct 2012
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 7 Jan 2013

    Research areas

  • Biological diversity, Time, Legacy data, Traits, Global change, Conservation

Discover related content
Find related publications, people, projects and more using interactive charts.

View graph of relations

Related by author

  1. Recent increases in assemblage rarity are linked to increasing local immigration

    Jones, F. A. M., Dornelas, M. & Magurran, A., 29 Jul 2020, In : Royal Society Open Science. 7, 7, 9 p., 192045.

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

  2. Landscape-scale forest loss as a catalyst of population and biodiversity change

    Daskalova, G. N., Myers-Smith, I. H., Bjorkman, A. D., Blowes, S. A., Supp, S. R., Magurran, A. E. & Dornelas, M., 19 Jun 2020, In : Science. 368, 6497, p. 1341-1347

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

  3. Temperature-related biodiversity change across temperate marine and terrestrial systems

    Antão, L. H., Bates, A. E., Blowes, S. A., Waldock, C., Supp, S. R., Magurran, A. E., Dornelas, M. & Schipper, A. M., 4 May 2020, In : Nature Ecology and Evolution.

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

  4. Mapping human pressures on biodiversity across the planet uncovers anthropogenic threat complexes

    Bowler, D. E., Bjorkman, A. D., Dornelas, M., Myers-Smith, I. H., Navarro, L. M., Niamir, A., Supp, S. R., Waldock, C., Winter, M., Vellend, M., Blowes, S. A., Böhning-Gaese, K., Bruelheide, H., Elahi, R., Antão, L. H., Hines, J., Isbell, F., Jones, H. P., Magurran, A. E., Cabral, J. S. & 1 others, Bates, A. E., 27 Feb 2020, In : People and Nature. Early View, p. 1-15 15 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

  5. Towards a macroscope: leveraging technology to transform the breadth, scale and resolution of macroecological data

    Dornelas, M., Madin, E. M. P., Bunce, M., DiBattista, J. D., Johnson, M., Madin, J. S., Magurran, A. E., McGill, B. J., Pettorelli, N., Pizarro, O., Williams, S. B., Winter, M. & Bates, A. E., 15 Nov 2019, In : Global Ecology and Biogeography. 28, 12, p. 1937-1948 12 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Related by journal

  1. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London Series B: Biological Sciences (Journal)

    Oscar Eduardo Gaggiotti (Member of editorial board)

    1 Jan 2013 → …

    Activity: Publication peer-review and editorial work typesEditor of research journal

  2. Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences (Journal)

    Kate Arnold (Reviewer)

    2012 → …

    Activity: Publication peer-review and editorial work typesPeer review of manuscripts

  3. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London Series B: Biological Sciences (Journal)

    Michael Gordon Ritchie (Editor)

    20102011

    Activity: Publication peer-review and editorial work typesEditor of research journal

  4. Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences (Journal)

    Susan Denise Healy (Member of editorial board)

    2009 → …

    Activity: Publication peer-review and editorial work typesEditor of research journal

  5. Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences (Journal)

    Iain McCombe Matthews (Editor)

    2008 → …

    Activity: Publication peer-review and editorial work typesPeer review of manuscripts

Related by journal

  1. A gene’s-eye view of sexual antagonism

    Hitchcock, T. & Gardner, A., 12 Aug 2020, In : Proceedings of the Royal Society of London Series B: Biological Sciences. 287, 1932, 9 p., 20201633.

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

  2. Global change in the functional diversity of marine fisheries exploitation over the past 65 years

    Trindade Santos, I., Moyes, F. H. & Magurran, A., 26 Aug 2020, In : Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences. 287, 1933, 8 p., 20200889.

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

  3. Numerical ordinality in a wild nectarivore

    Vámos, T. I. F., Tello-Ramos, M. C., Hurly, T. A. & Healy, S. D., 8 Jul 2020, In : Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences. 287, 1930, 20201269.

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

ID: 40852888

Top